Wednesday, September 16, 2009

Adrian Peterson vs. Detroit Lions Yardage Predictions

If you play fantasy football, the last 2 years have made you giddy with anticipation when any one of your offensive players has "DET" next to their name for the upcoming week. Heck...even if you play in a team defense league having DET next to that is enough to get you hyped and wonder why these guys don't require a background check to stay in the league after the points theft against the lowly Lions. It is so bad that I have seen over the last couple years that fantasy managers have gone out of their way to pick up as many players as they can get out of the free agent pool just so that they have a latch on to the points the Lions defense is going to give up only to just dump them back in the pool after the game as those players are nothing the rest of the way.

The biggest fear of fantasy managers when they see Adrian Peterson, or Drew Brees sitting a crossed the way on the match up scoreboard with the "DET" next to his name. Luckily I have Drew Brees, and got that benefit last week, but not this week. I am on the other end of the points free for all with AP on the other side. In fact I am so worried that I have put out a ridiculous deal in order to acquire AP for my own team to match up with Brees :).

So in that light I am going to put it out there for everyone to predict how many yards Adrian Peterson gets against the Detroit Lions this week. We are lucky enough to see this twice every year as they are in the same division. You may be a little surprised by how he hasn't rushed for 300 yards a game,b ut he hasn't exactly been shut down either.

Adrian Pertson career vs. Detroit:

2008 (2 games): 47 Rushes for 216 yards (4.6 YPC), 2 Rec for 10 yards), 0 TOTAL TDS
2007 (2 games): 35 carries for 182 yards (5.2 YPC), 2 Rush TD, 5 Rec for 62 yards

So through 4 games (2 road, 2 away) in Adrian Peterson's career thus far against the Detroit Lions he has averaged just under 100 rushing YPG at 99.5 rush yards per game. He has 7 receptions for 72 yards, so 117.5 TOTAL Yards averaged per game against Detroit.

So with that in mind just how many yards do we think we can expect from AP this year?

I am going with 96 yards rushing and 3 catches for 18 yards.

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